ShurIQ Interactive View · Issue 001 / View 02 · Macro and liquidity Research closed October 31, 2026
View 02 · Macro and liquidity

Ether's daily returns moved 1.2 times bitcoin's over the 90 days to October 31, 2026.

0.893
Ether's 90-day correlation with bitcoin on October 31, 2026
2.63%
10-year real yield on October 29, 2026
47.41%
Share of all dollar tokens held on Ethereum, October 31, 2026
13
Periods in which ether's beta to bitcoin held a steady average, November 1, 2023 to October 31, 2026
Date range
Focused series
None
Nine steps, from the Fed to BitMine

Dollar-token supply fell and investors pulled money from US spot ether funds in the month to October 31, 2026.

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The Fed's balance sheet stood at $6.746 trillion on October 28, 2026.

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Method

Beta is how far ether moved, in percent, for each 1 percent change in the other market. For the real yield, beta counts ether's change for each 1 percentage point change in the yield. Correlation runs from minus 1 to 1 and measures how steadily the two moved together. Both use daily log returns over trailing windows of 30 and 90 trading days from November 1, 2023.

A stretch is a period in which the 90-day beta to bitcoin or to the real yield held a steady average. A change-point search with a 60-observation minimum set the breaks.

Prices are Yahoo Finance daily closes. Yields and Federal Reserve balances are Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis data. Dollar tokens are DefiLlama, spot fund flows are Farside Investors, and public-company ether is The Block over the ultrasound.money supply. BitMine's weekly buying is ether added in each release at the release's ether price over market value.